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Essays and notes on Bayesian statistics, macro-financial risk, and India’s legal and political institutions.
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Bayesian Methods
Essays and projects on Bayesian statistics, nonparametrics, inference, and technical modeling.
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Macro Risk
Work on macroeconomic tail risk, actuarial design, insurance systems, annuities, and financial stress.
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India, Law & Politics
Essays on Indian law, dissent, political structure, sovereignty, caste, and state power.
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- 01Long-form social criticismDraft essayChild Babas and the Crisis of Critical ThinkingA long-form social criticism essay on the commercialization of child religious figures in India, the psychological economy that sustains it, and the cost it imposes on childhood, science, and public reasoning.IndiaReligionRationalismSocial CriticismChild WelfareScience
- 02Legal-political opinion and analysisSubstantive opinion essayJustice Denied: The Rotting Foundation of India's Trial Courts and the Supreme Indifference at the TopAn unflinching indictment of India's district and subordinate courts — their corruption, casteism, nepotism, and institutional rot — and a reckoning with the Supreme Court leadership that refuses to confront it.IndiaCriminal JusticePublic LawJudiciaryTrial CourtsCorruptionCasteState Power
- 03Legal-political analysisSubstantive research essayThe 1984 Anti-Sikh Violence and Its Legal, Political, and Social ImplicationsA legal-political analysis of the 1984 anti-Sikh violence, the architecture of delayed justice, the drift of majoritarian statecraft, and the limited but real risk of Khalistan's fringe return.IndiaMinority RightsCriminal JusticePublic LawSikh HistoryState Power
- 04Technical explainerPublished essayMarkov Chain Monte Carlo: Intuition, Algorithms, Diagnostics, and Why the Chain Moves the Way It DoesA guide to MCMC with interactive visuals: why Bayesian inference becomes an integration problem, how Metropolis-Hastings works, and how geometry shapes mixing and diagnostics.MCMCBayesian MethodsMonte CarloComputational StatisticsStatistics
- 05Legal-political analysisSubstantive research essayUmar Khalid: Activism, UAPA Prosecution, and the Politics of Trial by Jail in IndiaA legal-political analysis of Umar Khalid's UAPA prosecution, repeated bail denials, and what the case reveals about dissent, minority vulnerability, and pretrial punishment in India.IndiaUAPACivil LibertiesDissentMinority RightsState Power
- 06Historical research essaySubstantive research essayIndia as a Patchwork of Polities Before Modern UnificationA long-form essay on layered sovereignty in South Asia, showing how courts, chiefs, estates, and treaty-bound states governed as semi-autonomous units before modern constitutional unification.IndiaHistoryPolitical StructurePrincely States
- 07Legal and political analysisPublished essayKunal Kamra and the Shrinking Space for Dissent in IndiaA long-form legal and political essay on Kunal Kamra’s public career, the escalation from threats to formal state action, and what his cases reveal about speech, power, and institutional pressure in India.IndiaDissentFree SpeechPublic Law
- 08Legal and political analysisPublished essayThe Sonam Wangchuk Case and the Shrinking Space for Dissent in IndiaA sharp legal-political essay on protest, preventive detention, and what the Sonam Wangchuk case reveals about the Indian state and the narrowing space for dissent.IndiaDissentProtestPublic Law
- 09Legal and political analysisPublished essayAcquitted After Years, Still Denied Justice: Wrongful Imprisonment in IndiaA sharper, simpler argument about wrongful imprisonment in India, the anti-terror cases that consume decades, and the cruelty of release without compensation.IndiaCriminal JusticeWrongful ImprisonmentPublic Law
- 10Legal and political analysisPublished essayIndia’s Sanitation Regime Is Caste Made VisibleA political essay on manual scavenging, hazardous sewer labour, and the constitutional hypocrisy of caste in modern India.IndiaCasteLabourPublic Law
- 11Legal and political analysisPublished essayWhy Partition Talk Exposes the Failure of the Indian SystemA sharper, simpler political essay on what Sikh-Muslim-Hindu partition debates reveal about the Indian Constitution, centralization, and the limits of Indian pluralism.IndiaConstitutional LawPolitical StructurePartition
- 12Legal research reportEvidence baseWrongful Imprisonment Without Compensation in India: An Evidence Base and Reform BlueprintA structured review of long-incarceration acquittal and discharge cases in India, with emphasis on compensation gaps, recurring investigative failures, and institutional reform.IndiaCriminal JusticeWrongful ImprisonmentPublic Law
- 13Legal and political analysisPublished essayPartitioning Along Sikh, Muslim, and Hindu LinesA constitutional, historical, and comparative analysis of partition proposals framed around Sikh, Muslim, and Hindu lines in India.IndiaConstitutional LawPolitical StructurePartition
- 14Technical explainerPublished essayBayesian vs. Frequentist: Two Ways of Thinking About UncertaintyTwo dominant frameworks of statistical inference—Frequentist and Bayesian—start from the same data but differ in what probability means and how uncertainty is quantified.Bayesian MethodsFrequentist MethodsStatisticsInference
- 15Technical research essayPublished essayFIA and MYGA: General Account Economics, Crediting Design, and Actuarial Risk ManagementA technical deep-dive into fixed indexed annuities (FIAs) and multi-year guaranteed annuities (MYGAs): crediting mechanics, option budgets, hedging/ALM interactions, behavioral risk, and the reserve/capital constraints that determine what designs are actually feasible.Actuarial ScienceInsuranceRisk ManagementAnnuities
